AI: What I see
- People will become more reviewers than creators. For example, All engineers will review code more than they write.
- There will be multiple apps/tools for each use case. Anytime the cost of building something decreases, demand increases (Jevons' Paradox). We saw this with cars, Web 1.0/2.0, and media. This will lead to the creation of marketplaces. For example, when the cost of video production dropped, YouTube thrived with individual creators rather than large media houses.
- A new role will be created in all teams to evaluate, set up, and manage AI agents for the outcome of their role. These professionals will sit at the intersection of technology, domain expertise, and business outcomes. For example, a GTM Engineer could evaluate AI SDRs in sales.
- Agents will interact with other agents to get tasks done, shifting much of the work to the backend and making many workflows UI-less.
- Every time productivity improves, we see the next wave of economic growth. AI-driven productivity gains will drive a significant economic boom across industries.
- Every company will become a tech and media company. The demand for tech and media roles will rise in legacy industries.
- There will be large companies built with small teams. For example, Cursor - 100M ARR with 20 people
- This wave will not only impact individual contributors but also managers. Many checker tools will emerge to evaluate the performance of AI agents.
- Skill gaps, unemployment, reskilling, and upskilling will become critical areas for governments.
- I will be able to tell agents what to do, and they will execute tasks for me across any interaction touchpoint. For example, I can ask an agent to find a name for my startup, and it will conduct name research, check domain availability, perform social/SEO research, and finalize domain options. All of this will happen across different systems, with or without APIs.
- There is potential for a new app store and a new channel of distribution to emerge.
- Legal contracts and compliance will change. For example, contracts will need to specify who is liable if an AI agent makes an error.
- A new communication protocol will emerge between agents.
- Fewer large companies will be built, leading to more monopolies and duopolies.
- All hardware will be automated. For example, flights, weapons, etc.
- Voice will make a comeback since it is now cost-effective and the most natural human form of interaction